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BTB Podcast #2 – Rants by Rance

Answering a few questions and ranting about the betting industry (accidentally cut the last 30 secs out)

BTB Podcasts

Here is the first BTB Podcast. I answer questions about betting, the NBA, and entertainment. Plus I ramble about betting for a bit.

CBB Systems


I tried to create a podcast with this information yesterday, but the software I have always used is not working on my new laptop. I would like to do a bi-weekly podcast for the site, so if anyone has any good advice about creating one please let me know. I have a brand new computer and all of the audio working. I just need to know the best recording/editing software to use.

I will be doing an NBA page similar to this as well. I am simply providing my favorite CBB/NBA systems (and will refer to them as CBB System 1, CBB System 2, etc). When I release the system plays I will put the number of the system that correlates to this page. Stability over time (or a large amount of plays) is the most important factor in determining how a system will do. I have systems that span 100′s of play and 1,000′s of plays over the last 10 years. I have the info updated weekly in Excel format and also have access to the brilliant BetLabs for instant system creation.

I will also be offering a free service for members who want to know how great any system you can think of is. Simply shoot me a tweet or email with the criteria, and I will get back to you within 48 hours with the results. I will compose a different post later with all of the criteria you can pick from. The basic stats below are not system stats, but they are helpful in seeing that you must go beyond the surface to get any meaningful results. Visitors, as a general rule, are better bets in CBB and NBA and offer more value. Being a visitor is never a good enough reason to bet a team though.

I am unit betting the rest of the season in CBB and NBA. The amount of units depends on the stability of the system over X amount of plays. I will give you the stability of the system by giving each one a grade (A+, A-, B+, B-). No systems in the C, D, or F range are worthy of following. I can give more info on this in a couple of days.

Some basic stats:

CBB Visitors L10 Years: 14774-14140 ROI: -0.3%
CBB Visitors This Season: 1260-1202 ROI: -0.5%
CBB Home Teams L10 Years: 14140-14774 ROI: -4.7%
CBB Home Teams This Season: 1202-1260 ROI: -5.1%
CBB Dogs L10 Years: 15317-15203 ROI: -2.1%
CBB Dogs This Season: 1369-1406 ROI: -3.9%
CBB Favs L10 Years: 15203-15317 ROI: -3.0%
CBB Favs This Season: 1406-1369 ROI: -1.7%
CBB Road Dogs L10 Years: 10844-10482 ROI: -0.8%
CBB Road Dogs This Season: 930-920 ROI: -2.1%
CBB Road Favs L10 Years: 3928-3651 ROI: +0.9%
CBB Road Favs This Season: 330-282 ROI: +4.3%
CBB Home Dogs L10 Years: 3651-3928 ROI: -6.1%
CBB Home Dogs This Season: 282-330 ROI: -10.2%
CBB Home Favs L10 Years: 10482-10844 ROI: -4.3%
CBB Home Favs This season: 920-930 ROI: -3.4%

Now for my favorite systems:

CBB System 7
CBB System 8
CBB System 9
CBB System 10

The Single Most Important Factor in Becoming a Pro Bettor


I have been preaching about money management for years. I have claimed that it is the most important factor that will ultimately lead to you winning money in this business. There is one thing that is even more fundamental, however, and is the true basis for success in any area of life: ATTITUDE!

We all know the typical hater. Some of you experience them in your social life or maybe at work. They are naturally negative and seemingly have “VICTIM” written across their forehead. They also exist online (I have a good bit of them myself), and they spend much of their valuable time focusing on bashing others instead of bettering themselves (by breaking down games or having valuable online discussions).

I have encountered almost every type of negative online character out there. There are those that bash you outright (“Your play suck!”), others that try to do so a little under the radar (“You haven’t won since I jumped on board, but I am sure you will turn it around soon!”), and others that seem to be natural pessimists (“Who is making these plays? I don’t understand what you are seeing. Confusing!”). People that make these comments will never win in the betting world, which is why I ignore them completely and move on. Quite simply, negative people are the losers in life and in gambling.

In my experience, winning bettors seem to have one common thread: they are natural optimists who never play the victim card. You won’t see many winning bettors complaining about a bad beat here or a bad beat there. You won’t see them ragging someone online over plays or ranting and raving over a bad run. Losses are a necessary evil in this line of business. You either learn from them or you let them eat you up until you lack the wherewithal to keep grinding each and every day.

Stay focused on winning long term and understand each second you spend in a state of self-loathing is a very valuable second you could have used crunching numbers and breaking down games.


NFL Live Betting

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The New Behind The Bets (BTB)

Mass Email Sent 10/23/2013:


Greetings Members!

I hope this email finds you well.

If you haven’t already, check out our new site! We have tons of new functionality, 100% transparent picks, and everything is logged within 24 hours of making the pick.


New Site:

We have tons of new functionality on our site:

  1. Completely changed the look of our website: www.behindthebets.org
  2. Added a chat feature to talk sports and gambling everyday on our homepage!
  3. Improved our record tracking with daily record keeping and updates: Click Here
  4. Added NFL Power Rankings with NFL Video Preview and advanced statistics: Click Here
  5. Developed CFB Power Rankings  and advanced statistics: Click Here
  6. Created a Free BTB Bet Tracker to track your bets, records and win %: Click Here
  7. Once the season starts, we will release our NBA Power Rankings and advanced statistics.
  8. Once the season starts, we will release our NBA Team Pages.

*CFB and NFL previews will be available on Thursday.

*NBA previews will be available daily during the season.


Refer A Friend:
Know someone that wants to sign up for a lifetime membership with Behind The Bets? Let us know and he can join our team for only $99.99 for life ($129.99 value)! We love expanding and the bigger we get, the more powerful we become! You can see our membership options by clicking here.
We have a great service, and it is for a better cause. Membership fees (and more) goes directly to the ACS foundation and other families in need.

Adding Your Twitter Handle:

One thing we are asking members to do is add there Twitter Handle to their member accounts on there profile. This will ensure that twitter does not unfollow you randomly and you will lose access to the site and our picks! Please do this! Very important!


  1. Log onto our website at: www.behindthebets.org
  2. Click “Edit My Profile” under the Log-In Menu on the left
  3. A pop-up window will show up. Simply fill in where it says: “TWITTER HANDLE”
  4. Save all changes and you’re done!

Thank you all in advanced for doing this, it is very important to us.


Added Fun Horse Betting:

Recently we have been betting horses live on our Behind The Bets Chat Room! We will tweet out when we may be betting horses and come join us! Just some extra fun bets included in your membereship! If you are looking for a great sports book to bet horses with, we recommend Xpressbets.com. It is our favorite place  to bet the horses. In addition, you can watch all of the races live there.

Referral Bonus: Sign up with the following referral code XBF02425. This is Rance’s Dads account and it will give him an additional $50 :) He greatly appreciates you using his code!

* The bets will not be tracked or included in our records due to the fact they are not tweeted out on our @BTBPicks handle.*


We hope you enjoy all of the new features we have been adding to the site. We will continuously be adding more and growing the Behind The Bets Powerhouse!

Thank you to all, new and old, members! We are happy to have you on our team!

Please let us know if you have any questions!


Rance, Dave & The Rest of the BTB Team



BTB Bet Tracker – Sports Betting

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Daily Figure Tracker

Created by The BTB Team

Are you a sports bettor looking for ways to keep better track of your bets and win more money? The BTB Bet Tracker can help you do just that.

The BTB Tracker is a convenient way to easily track and analyze your bets, saving you time and maximizing your earnings.

How can The BTB Tracker help you?
-The BTB Tracker will help you analyze your bets, showing you your strengths and weaknesses.
-Track monthly and yearly records per sport
-Track monthly and year win percentages per sport
-Track monthly and yearly profits per sports
-Break down your bets to show you what sport you’re most profitable in
-Increasing your credibility – back up your plays with solid statistics about your record
-We offer lifetime support if a formula ever breaks or if you request any customization.
-New versions of the report will be sent out every year and you will be notified when any updates come out.
-This spreadsheet is available on Google Docs and in Excel format. You have the option of which form you would like.
-This spreadsheet is available in American and Decimal Odds

There is a 1 time fee of $29.99 for Non-Members, or this spreadsheet is free with membership!

If you are a member, sign in and Click Here to download the tracker.

If you are looking to sign up and join the BTB Team, check out our membership packages here:

Sign Up Now

Please send the payment using the PayPal link below. The spreadsheet will be sent to the email used in PayPal. If you would like it sent to a different email address, please email behindthebets@gmail.com.

Available in Excel and Google Docs.

Want to take a look before you buy it? Check out our preview below of the tracker:

Click Here to Download The US Preview Version (v7.0)

The payment $29.99 link is below!

We hope you like it and good luck tracking!

Pats vs Jets Preview

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How to Sign Up & Navigate the Site

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The 3 Best Sports Betting Tips

The 3 Best Sports Betting Tips


People that win money consistently betting sports will tell you the most important thing they look for is value. Sharps, as they are known, are the ones that can consistently find these winners over and over based on power ranks, trends, situations, or formulas. Regardless of the means, we all are simply looking for the best way to determine the value of any bet so that we win money over time. It is no different than a Wall Street trader looking for a stock that is under-priced now in hopes of making a profit down the road. Here are 3 tips to help you find value, get the best of numbers, and understand middling key numbers.

Read More…

Understanding Line Movements in Sports Betting

 Understanding Line Movements in Sports Betting


The first step in learning to beat the books is to focus on understanding how lines are set and why they move. Lines are nothing but different prices in a stock market that we call sports betting. If you can get a line at -2.5 instead of -3 while laying the same amount, then you are getting a better deal in our market. If you keep getting these better prices, then that will lead to more extracted value at the end of each year. Getting value is the name of the game. If two teams are evenly matched in every facet of the game, but because of some external factors (excessive media attention, star players being profiled on Sports Center, etc.) one team is favored by 6 points then you are getting value by going against them in this particular game. Public perception creates media frenzy around a team; the frenzy inspires your average Joe to place a wager online; and the line adjusts to the influx of money coming in on that team.

Read More…

Sharps vs Squares

Sharps vs Squares


Here is a typical conversation I have with up-and-coming sport’s bettors.

Bettor – “Which side is the sharp side of game x and which side is the square side?”

Me – “Well, what number did you get the game at?”

Bettor – “I got it at minus 3. But I just want to know what side the public was on and which side the sharps were on.”

Me – “Well, this game, like most games, really did not have a public or a sharp side. The sharps that I know who decided to bet the game just got the game at -2.5 or bet the other side at +3.5.”

Read More…

Should You Fade the Public When Sports Betting?

 Should you Fade the Public when Sports Betting?


You will hear a lot of people argue that you should always fade (or bet against) the public. Others argue that you should bet with the public because the public is usually right. I argue for a different approach to sports betting altogether. I want you to understand a few things first though. The public does affect lines and totals in games. Most casual gamblers get their information from ESPN and sports radio, who are in the business of over-hyping players and games every day. Therefore most people who place a bet are likely to bet the favorite (the popular team in the media who have been on SportsCenter all week) or the over in the game (because they have heard about the high-powered offensive players all week). If we had perfect information about both teams then the public would usually be right, but we have very imperfect information that doesn’t accurately reflect what is going to happen in any particular game.

Read More…

How to Breakdown a Game from a Betting Perspective

How to Breakdown a Game from a Betting Perspective


I am going to give you some tips on how to breakdown a game with an example of a game from tonight’s card. I will give you a few free places to look for ATS stats as well. Let’s get started.

Read More…

Tips for Betting the NBA and NCAA

Tips for Betting the NBA and NCAA


1) Don’t worry if your bet is sharp – Quit worrying about the sharp side of a game and/or fading the public. There is not a sharp/square side to every single game, nor should it really matter what side they are on (the sharp number could easily be gone). A lot of times the sharp side is the public side, but the sharps may have just gotten the number ahead of the majority of the public. Instead try to make solid bets over and over again, and focus on knowing as much as you can about the teams who are playing the game.

Read More…

Are Teasers for Suckers? How to Bet NFL Teasers.


Are Teasers for Suckers? How to Bet NFL Teasers


A teaser is a bet that allows you to adjust the point spread in the direction you want on 2 or more games. The key is that you have to hit them all. In football, the most common teaser is 2-team 6. So if you love the Falcons +4.5 and the Bears -8.5 this week, then you can simply adjust the spreads to Falcons +10.5 and Bears -2.5. There are also 2-team 6.5’s, 2-team 7’s, 3-team 6’s, 3-team 10’s, 3-team 14’s, and so on. If you want to win though, you need to focus only on 2-team 6 (or 6.5’s).

Read More…

How to Bet Totals

 How to Bet Totals


Betting totals is one of the easiest ways to make money each week in the NFL and college. What exactly is a total? It is simply the line for how many combined points both teams will score in any given game. The line is not set with an attempt to get equal action on both sides of the line: it is set with an attempt to make money off the gullible public. This concept actually took me the longest time to understand. Forever I blindly assumed the books wanted equal action so as to make money off the vig (the -110 you make for every bet). The books actually want that money plus the extra 10-20% that the public will make them after they push the line up or down depending on the game. If the Packers-Eagles are playing and the total is determined to be 50.5, then the books will probably push that total up to 53 or so simply because the public will bet the over in the game no matter what. 80% of the bets will come in on the inflated over and the book will have an edge over all of those bets. Similarly, if the Ravens-Steelers are playing then the books will probably give a deflated number like 37.5 (as opposed to more accurate number like 40) because of the public perception that the game will be a defensive battle. In the long run, these extra points become extra money for the books.

Read More…

I Once was a Lebron James Hater

I Once was a Lebron James Hater


I once was a Lebron James hater. I saw a guy who had all the potential in the world but was too laid back to take full advantage of it. As a (not-so skilled) white guy who grew up wanting to play in the NBA, it seems insulting when a 6’9 freak of nature doesn’t fully commit to the game. As a kid, I rejected my dad’s favorite NBA player (Larry Bird) and opted to pull for Magic Johnson instead. This was a time when Larry Bird was every white guy’s favorite player simply because he was the one white dude that worked hard enough to compete on a high-level with all of the more talented black guys. Why did I choose to pull for Magic over Larry? I liked his game more. I loved the no-look passes, the hook-shots, and the way he ran a fast-break. He played a beautiful brand of basketball.

Read More…

Recommended Online Books



I recommend that everyone should learn to shop lines and keep at a minimum 5-6 books. I have been asked hundreds of times for a list of the books I personally use. I have also included the books I love to use for live or in-games bets. Click the banners to sign up (each sign up helps the site).



BetOnline – Probably the book I bet at the most – great for betting live. 



BetDSI – The best book. Period. Live betting available. 



Bovada – Not my favorite book but a book you can exploit because of their square lines.

Recommended Betting Software



In order to properly shop lines, some type of betting software is a must have. The best software is SportsInsights. It can be a bit pricey, but it is well worth the investment if you are a serious gambler. I have used it for many  years and recommend you jump on board. They give out steam plays, picks, and let you pick which book’s lines (pretty much as many as you want) you want to observe in the program. They both offer many other features as well. Sign up by clicking the banner below (you will support the site by doing so).



The standard is set here. Perfect program in my opinion.